Angle 17 of 25 ๐Ÿ‘ฅ First-time buyers Price impact ~60 seconds

48,000 Flats vs the 15-Month Policy: Which One Actually Moves Your Price?

The take: The MOP supply wave outweighs the demand this unlocks.

For this client, the policy change reads as: Loses

Download article (.md) Script only (.txt) Download PDF magnet ยท 15SUPPLY

The 60-second talking script

Read it as written, or swap in your own estate and numbers. Copy button above puts the whole script on your clipboard.

The 15-month policy removal added demand to the HDB resale market. Everyone agrees on that. The argument is whether it's enough to move prices. I don't think it is, and here's the reason.

About thirteen thousand five hundred flats reach MOP this year. Fifteen thousand next year. Nineteen thousand five hundred in 2028. Roughly forty-eight thousand flats becoming sellable over three years.

That is a very large amount of supply arriving into the same market those downgraders are entering.

Meanwhile the demand side of the equation is measured in hundreds or low thousands a year, based on the appeal numbers.

Forty-eight thousand flats of supply. A stream of downgraders. You don't need a model to see which side is bigger.

Prices firm up where downgraders concentrate โ€” big flats, mature estates. Everywhere else, supply wins.

Post kit

Who this is for
First-time buyers โ€” Loses
Primary title
48,000 Flats vs the 15-Month Policy: Which One Actually Moves Your Price?
A/B alt title (declarative)
48,000 Flats vs the 15-Month Policy: Supply Wins
Runtime
~60 seconds
Target keyword
15-Month Policy
Angle source
The counter-argument the source video never makes.

Lead magnet ยท 15SUPPLY

DM me "15SUPPLY" and I'll send you the MOP pipeline for your estates โ€” which blocks complete and when.

MOP pipeline for your estates โ€” a ready-made PDF you send when someone DMs the keyword. Rebrand the cover and it's yours.

Download the 15SUPPLY PDF

Facts used in this script

  • MOP completions: ~13,500 (2026), 15,000 (2027), 19,500 (2028)
  • ~5,500 wait-out appeals total over roughly three years

Data as at 31 July 2026. Verify against HDB/MND before posting.

More scripts for this client: First-time buyers

The protection is gone and cash-rich downgraders are back. The honest angles here build more trust than the optimistic ones.

  1. The 15-Month Policy Was Protecting First-Time Buyers. What Happens to You Now? 15FIRST
  2. The 15-Month Policy Is Gone. So Why Are Some Buyers Still Waiting 30 Months? 15LOAN

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